Current Canada Inflation Rate: 1.89% (-39.4% vs last year)
Jan 2025
Historical average: | 3% |
Inflation rate based on 12-month change in CPI.
The CPI starts with a “basket” that represents typical consumer spending. This basket includes thousands of items grouped into major categories:
- Housing: about 20%
- Food and Beverages, restaurants: 18%
- Transportation: 15%
- Utilities/energy: 11%
- Medical Care: 12%
- Education and Communication: 6%
- Recreation: 5%
- Apparel: 3%
- Miscellaneous Goods and Services: 10%
The composition of the basket is updated periodically to reflect changing consumer preferences and habits.
Not all price changes are created equal. If a car model improves with better safety features or a smartphone gets upgraded with new tech, Statistics Canada adjusts for these quality improvements. This is a controversial practice.
The CPI isn’t just an academic figure. It’s a key metric influencing:
- Cost-of-Living Adjustments (COLAs): For Social Security and pensions.
- Wage Negotiations: Union contracts often tie raises to CPI.
- Economic Policy: Central banks use it to guide interest rates.
Issues with the CPI:
- Substitution Bias: If steak prices rise, consumers may switch to chicken, but CPI assumes they still buy steak.
- Exclusion of Asset Prices: CPI doesn't account for housing prices (only rent) or stock market changes, which significantly impact wealth.
- Some measures are based on surveys and not actual data.
- Statistics Canada
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